QUINNIPIAC
BOBCATSQUIN
9-3 | Road
66
HOFSTRA
PRIDEHOF
8-4 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
100%
PRIDE
0%
BOBCATS
--
PRIDE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Hofstra)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOF -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)
QUIN By 1-7 points
8.0%
QUIN By 8-14 points
2.2%
HOF By 1-7 points
20.1%
HOF By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Quinnipiac
58
QUINNIPIAC
Hofstra
70
HOFSTRA
Simulated Score
Quinnipiac
72
QUINNIPIAC
Hofstra
76
HOFSTRA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pride
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pride
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pride (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Pride (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 21, 2025
QUIN @ HOF
66 - 74
Dec 29, 2024
HOF @ QUIN
69 - 75
Nov 27, 2022
QUIN @ HOF
70 - 72
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.4%
Hofstra: 48.6%
vs
Quinnipiac: 35.3%
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.8%
Hofstra: 76.4%
vs
Quinnipiac: 68.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.4%
Hofstra: 50.3%
vs
Quinnipiac: 47.0%
Steals (L5)
+42.6% more
Quinnipiac: 10.3
vs
Hofstra: 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
QUIN Score
58.0
66
HOF Score
70.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
48.6 / 35.3
31.0 / 21.0
Assists
14.7 / 14.9
9.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.7 / 5.2
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
50.3 / 47.0
38.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
76.4 / 68.6
74.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 35.9
51.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.9 / 10.3
2.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 10.4
13.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUIN
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUIN
13-17-1
(43.3%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
⚖️ Over/Under
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -0.9
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOF
QUIN
HOF
QUIN
ML
77%
27-8
66%
21-11
71%
25-10
53%
17-15
ATS
83%
29-6
59%
19-13
71%
25-10
53%
17-15
TTL
51%
18-17
62%
20-12
100%
35-0
100%
32-0
