STONY BROOK
SEAWOLVESSTBK
8-4 | Road
51
MARIST
RED FOXESMRST
7-3 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
SEAWOLVES
0%
RED FOXES
100%
SEAWOLVES
--
RED FOXES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
STONY BROOK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Stony Brook)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around STBK -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STBK)
STBK By 1-7 points
26.8%
STBK By 8-14 points
24.3%
MRST By 1-7 points
16.9%
MRST By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Stony Brook
67
STONY BROOK
Marist
61
MARIST
Simulated Score
Stony Brook
69
STONY BROOK
Marist
72
MARIST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Seawolves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Foxes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Seawolves (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Red Foxes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 21, 2025
STBK @ MRST
51 - 70
Dec 17, 2024
MRST @ STBK
68 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+50.1% more
Stony Brook: 3.7
vs
Marist: 1.8
Assists (L5)
+35.2% more
Marist: 17.7
vs
Stony Brook: 13.1
Steals (L5)
+23.3% more
Marist: 8.5
vs
Stony Brook: 6.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Marist: 45.8%
vs
Stony Brook: 42.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STBK Score
67.0
51
MRST Score
61.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.0 / 37.2
28.0 / 26.0
Assists
17.7 / 13.1
14.0 / 6.0
Blocks
1.8 / 3.7
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 42.1
43.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
71.9 / 71.8
79.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 35.5
42.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.5 / 6.9
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 12.2
8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STBK
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
MRST
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STBK
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
MRST
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
STBK
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
MRST
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MRST
STBK
MRST
STBK
ML
55%
17-14
61%
19-12
61%
19-12
71%
22-9
ATS
74%
23-8
61%
19-12
61%
19-12
71%
22-9
TTL
52%
16-15
65%
20-11
100%
31-0
100%
31-0