LEHIGH
MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH
4-8 | Road
62
MONMOUTH
HAWKSMONM
5-7 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
0%
HAWKS
100%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
LEHIGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Lehigh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LEH -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEH)
LEH By 1-7 points
26.2%
LEH By 8-14 points
25.3%
MONM By 1-7 points
15.3%
MONM By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Lehigh
72
LEHIGH
Monmouth
65
MONMOUTH
Simulated Score
Lehigh
68
LEHIGH
Monmouth
72
MONMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mountain Hawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mountain Hawks (-6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 21, 2025
LEH @ MONM
62 - 76
Dec 4, 2024
MONM @ LEH
63 - 90
Nov 21, 2023
LEH @ MONM
79 - 88
Nov 27, 2022
MONM @ LEH
76 - 80
Nov 16, 2021
LEH @ MONM
75 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+25.8% more
Lehigh: 14.1
vs
Monmouth: 10.4
Steals (L5)
+10.9% more
Lehigh: 6.5
vs
Monmouth: 5.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.5%
Lehigh: 33.0%
vs
Monmouth: 30.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Lehigh: 45.1%
vs
Monmouth: 43.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LEH Score
72.0
62
MONM Score
65.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.5 / 33.0
62.0 / 36.0
Assists
15.7 / 13.0
15.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.5 / 3.2
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.2 / 45.1
52.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
79.1 / 69.4
60.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
33.1 / 30.9
31.0 / 30.0
Steals
5.8 / 6.5
13.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 14.1
14.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEH
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
MONM
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEH
Advantage
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
MONM
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MONM
LEH
MONM
LEH
ML
62%
21-13
56%
19-15
64%
21-12
68%
23-11
ATS
62%
21-13
56%
19-15
64%
21-12
68%
23-11
TTL
59%
20-14
76%
26-8
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
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