Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Owls @ Crimson Tide KENN @ ALA

KENNESAW STATE

OWLSKENN

8-3  |  Road

81
FINAL
Sun, Dec 21 • 2:00 PM ET
Propst Arena
View Odds Details →

ALABAMA

CRIMSON TIDEALA

8-3  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
📊
CRIMSON TIDE
0%
OWLS --
CRIMSON TIDE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
ALABAMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (Alabama)
OwlsKENN (-3.5) 0 Crimson TideALA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Owls Cover

0.0%

Crimson Tide Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ALA -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ALA)

KENN By 1-7 points

0.0%

KENN By 8-14 points

0.0%

ALA By 1-7 points

0.2%

ALA By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
50
KENNESAW STATE
86
ALABAMA
Simulated Score
65
KENNESAW STATE
88
ALABAMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Crimson Tide Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Crimson Tide Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Crimson Tide (-21.5) Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim Crimson Tide (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u179.5 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u179.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 21, 2025 KENN @ ALA 81 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +67.6% more
Alabama: 9.0 vs Kennesaw State: 5.3
Assists (L5) +17.2% more
Alabama: 16.0 vs Kennesaw State: 13.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.4%
Alabama: 36.8% vs Kennesaw State: 30.3%
Free Throw % (L5) +5.3%
Alabama: 78.6% vs Kennesaw State: 73.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENN Score 50.0 81
ALA Score 86.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.8 / 30.3 32.0 / 30.0
Assists 16.0 / 13.7 17.0 / 13.0
Blocks 9.0 / 5.3 7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.7 / 46.0 44.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 78.6 / 73.3 78.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 43.0 / 45.6 41.0 / 46.0
Steals 8.0 / 8.1 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 12.6 8.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENN
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
ALA Advantage
25-10-0 (71.4%)
Margin: 8.5 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENN Advantage
15-16-1 (48.4%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
ALA
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: 8.5 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +0.8
ALA
17-16-1
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ALA
KENN
ALA
KENN
ML
63% 22-13
74% 25-9
58% 19-14
72% 23-9
ATS
60% 21-14
71% 24-10
58% 19-14
73% 24-9
TTL
63% 22-13
56% 19-15
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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