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CAL STATE FULLERTON

TITANSCSUF

5-7  |  Road

89
FINAL
Sun, Dec 21 • 2:00 PM ET
Gallagher-Iba Arena
View Odds Details →

OKLAHOMA STATE

COWBOYSOKST

10-1  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
100%
📊
COWBOYS
0%
TITANS --
COWBOYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
183.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
OKLAHOMA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Oklahoma State)
TitansCSUF (-3.5) 0 CowboysOKST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Titans Cover

38.2%

Cowboys Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OKST -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKST)

CSUF By 1-7 points

21.6%

CSUF By 8-14 points

10.7%

OKST By 1-7 points

27.2%

OKST By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
90
CAL STATE FULLERTON
93
OKLAHOMA STATE
Simulated Score
62
CAL STATE FULLERTON
78
OKLAHOMA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cowboys Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cowboys (+20.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Cowboys (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o177.5 Win
Proj Total: 183.0
D
Sim u177.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 21, 2025 CSUF @ OKST 89 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +36.2% more
Oklahoma State: 3.8 vs Cal State Fullerton: 2.8
Turnovers (L5) +9.4% more
Oklahoma State: 12.4 vs Cal State Fullerton: 11.4
Free Throw % (L5) +3.5%
Oklahoma State: 75.3% vs Cal State Fullerton: 71.9%
Steals (L5) +30.4% more
Cal State Fullerton: 8.8 vs Oklahoma State: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CSUF Score 90.0 89
OKST Score 93.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.8 / 35.7 47.0 / 46.0
Assists 15.8 / 18.4 16.0 / 19.0
Blocks 3.8 / 2.8 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 51.1 / 51.1 51.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 75.3 / 71.9 67.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 38.5 / 39.4 35.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.1 / 8.8 9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.4 / 11.4 17.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
3%MONEY97%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
47%MONEY53%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSUF
18-16-0 (52.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
OKST Advantage
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSUF Advantage
19-11-2 (63.3%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
OKST
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: +0.6
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKST
CSUF
OKST
CSUF
ML
60% 21-14
68% 23-11
66% 21-11
76% 26-8
ATS
57% 20-15
68% 23-11
66% 21-11
76% 26-8
TTL
57% 20-15
59% 20-14
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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