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CHATTANOOGA

MOCSUTC

5-7  |  Road

73
FINAL
Sun, Dec 21 • 3:00 PM ET
Event Center
View Odds Details →

ALABAMA A&M

BULLDOGSAAMU

6-5  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
MOCS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
MOCS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-54.0
ALABAMA A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +54.0 points (Alabama A&M)
MocsUTC (-3.5) 0 BulldogsAAMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mocs Cover

0.0%

Bulldogs Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AAMU -54.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AAMU)

UTC By 1-7 points

0.0%

UTC By 8-14 points

0.0%

AAMU By 1-7 points

0.0%

AAMU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
43
CHATTANOOGA
97
ALABAMA A&M
Simulated Score
69
CHATTANOOGA
76
ALABAMA A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (-20.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -54.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u182.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u182.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 21, 2025 UTC @ AAMU 73 - 66
Dec 15, 2024 AAMU @ UTC 63 - 85
Dec 16, 2023 UTC @ AAMU 88 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +64.5% more
Alabama A&M: 2.8 vs Chattanooga: 1.7
Turnovers (L5) +39.1% more
Alabama A&M: 11.3 vs Chattanooga: 8.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.6%
Alabama A&M: 36.8% vs Chattanooga: 32.2%
Steals (L5) +45.7% more
Chattanooga: 8.5 vs Alabama A&M: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTC Score 43.0 73
AAMU Score 97.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.8 / 32.2 26.0 / 46.0
Assists 10.2 / 14.9 12.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.8 / 1.7 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 40.4 / 42.1 40.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 67.8 / 77.8 74.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 36.0 / 33.6 36.0 / 35.0
Steals 4.6 / 8.5 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 8.1 8.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTC
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: -3.7
AAMU Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -0.5 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTC
12-17-0 (41.4%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: -3.7
AAMU Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.5 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UTC
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.8
AAMU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AAMU
UTC
AAMU
UTC
ML
55% 16-13
48% 15-16
67% 16-8
53% 16-14
ATS
55% 16-13
52% 16-15
67% 16-8
55% 17-14
TTL
66% 19-10
77% 24-7
100% 24-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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