Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mavericks @ Cardinals OMA @ LAM

OMAHA

MAVERICKSOMA

6-7  |  Road

85
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 7:00 PM ET
Montagne Center
View Odds Details →

LAMAR

CARDINALSLAM

5-5  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
MAVERICKS
0%
📊
CARDINALS
100%
MAVERICKS --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
OMAHA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Omaha)
MavericksOMA (-3.5) 0 CardinalsLAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mavericks Cover

99.2%

Cardinals Cover

0.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OMA -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OMA)

OMA By 1-7 points

4.0%

OMA By 8-14 points

12.2%

LAM By 1-7 points

0.6%

LAM By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
78
OMAHA
54
LAMAR
Simulated Score
70
OMAHA
74
LAMAR
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Mavericks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Mavericks (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Cardinals (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 20, 2025 OMA @ LAM 85 - 82
Nov 24, 2024 OMA @ LAM 65 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +18.9% more
Omaha: 43.1 vs Lamar: 35.0
Assists (L5) +15.7% more
Omaha: 17.7 vs Lamar: 14.9
Field Goal % (L5) +7.8%
Omaha: 48.3% vs Lamar: 40.5%
Free Throw % (L5) +5.4%
Omaha: 73.2% vs Lamar: 67.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OMA Score 78.0 85
LAM Score 54.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.5 / 36.3 19.0 / 35.0
Assists 14.9 / 17.7 19.0 / 14.0
Blocks 5.3 / 2.2 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 40.5 / 48.3 46.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 67.7 / 73.2 75.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 35.0 / 43.1 38.0 / 29.0
Steals 7.9 / 6.4 9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 10.9 11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
26%MONEY74%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
69%MONEY31%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OMA Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -0.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
LAM
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OMA Advantage
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: -0.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
LAM
12-16-1 (42.9%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
OMA
14-14-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.6
LAM
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAM
OMA
LAM
OMA
ML
55% 16-13
79% 26-7
59% 17-12
67% 22-11
ATS
52% 15-14
76% 25-8
60% 18-12
67% 22-11
TTL
72% 21-8
73% 24-9
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Jason Kidd in Advanced Talks to Join ESPN's NBA Countdown as Ana…
yahoo 2 days, 21 hours ago
Jason Kidd Nears ESPN Studio Analyst Role for NBA Countdown
theathleticuk 3 days, 1 hour ago
Florida Gators Banking on Star-Studded Core for SEC Three-Peat
yahoo 1 week, 3 days ago
Kirby Smart Stays Silent on Nate Frazier's Injury Status as Geor…
si 1 week, 3 days ago
West Virginia's Defense Exposed in 41-24 Loss to Oklahoma State
wvnews 1 week, 4 days ago