Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bison @ Seahawks HOW @ UNCW

HOWARD

BISONHOW

8-5  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 2:00 PM ET
Trask Coliseum
View Odds Details →

UNC WILMINGTON

SEAHAWKSUNCW

10-1  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
100%
📊
SEAHAWKS
0%
BISON --
SEAHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
UNC WILMINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (UNC Wilmington)
BisonHOW (-3.5) 0 SeahawksUNCW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bison Cover

11.5%

Seahawks Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNCW -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCW)

HOW By 1-7 points

8.0%

HOW By 8-14 points

2.2%

UNCW By 1-7 points

20.1%

UNCW By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
72
HOWARD
84
UNC WILMINGTON
Simulated Score
70
HOWARD
78
UNC WILMINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Seahawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Seahawks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Seahawks (+15.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Seahawks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 20, 2025 HOW @ UNCW 67 - 66
Dec 14, 2024 UNCW @ HOW 83 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +13.6% more
UNC Wilmington: 41.3 vs Howard: 36.4
Blocks (L5) +84.3% more
Howard: 4.8 vs UNC Wilmington: 0.8
Steals (L5) +60.3% more
Howard: 9.6 vs UNC Wilmington: 3.8
Turnovers (L5) +33.7% more
Howard: 14.3 vs UNC Wilmington: 9.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOW Score 72.0 67
UNCW Score 84.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.9 / 35.6 20.0 / 44.0
Assists 11.3 / 13.4 12.0 / 11.0
Blocks 0.8 / 4.8 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 43.4 / 45.1 39.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 67.7 / 75.0 70.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 41.3 / 36.4 38.0 / 37.0
Steals 3.8 / 9.6 5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 9.5 / 14.3 13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
4%MONEY96%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOW
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
UNCW Advantage
27-7-0 (79.4%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
UNCW
16-14-2 (53.3%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
UNCW
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCW
HOW
UNCW
HOW
ML
64% 21-12
59% 20-14
52% 17-16
71% 22-9
ATS
58% 19-14
59% 20-14
52% 17-16
71% 22-9
TTL
61% 20-13
62% 21-13
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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