Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Trailblazers @ Wildcats UTU @ WEB

UTAH TECH

TRAILBLAZERSUTU

6-6  |  Road

82
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 9:00 PM ET
Dee Events Center
View Odds Details →

WEBER STATE

WILDCATSWEB

5-6  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
TRAILBLAZERS
0%
📊
WILDCATS
100%
TRAILBLAZERS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
UTAH TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Utah Tech)
TrailblazersUTU (-3.5) 0 WildcatsWEB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trailblazers Cover

98.2%

Wildcats Cover

1.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTU)

UTU By 1-7 points

6.8%

UTU By 8-14 points

16.9%

WEB By 1-7 points

1.4%

WEB By 8-14 points

0.2%

AI Model Projected Score
91
UTAH TECH
70
WEBER STATE
Simulated Score
70
UTAH TECH
75
WEBER STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Trailblazers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Trailblazers (-5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o152.5 Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 20, 2025 UTU @ WEB 82 - 80
Dec 13, 2024 WEB @ UTU 73 - 71
Dec 3, 2022 UTU @ WEB 77 - 65
Nov 27, 2021 WEB @ UTU 87 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +26.1% more
Utah Tech: 2.3 vs Weber State: 1.7
Assists (L5) +24.3% more
Utah Tech: 18.5 vs Weber State: 14.0
Steals (L5) +19.0% more
Utah Tech: 9.4 vs Weber State: 7.6
Free Throw % (L5) +14.5%
Utah Tech: 79.2% vs Weber State: 64.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTU Score 91.0 82
WEB Score 70.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.4 / 33.6 53.0 / 36.0
Assists 14.0 / 18.5 16.0 / 10.0
Blocks 1.7 / 2.3 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.4 / 50.5 51.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 64.7 / 79.2 73.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 35.0 / 35.2 28.0 / 29.0
Steals 7.6 / 9.4 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 14.9 11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTU Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
WEB
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTU Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
WEB
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.1
WEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WEB
UTU
WEB
UTU
ML
73% 22-8
68% 23-11
73% 22-8
62% 21-13
ATS
63% 19-11
65% 22-12
74% 23-8
62% 21-13
TTL
83% 25-5
65% 22-12
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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