Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 4.04 | 0.857 | -- |
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 3.00 | 0.885 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.04
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.857
Save %
Ldr 0.885
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
100%
DUCKS
0%
BLUE JACKETS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Anaheim)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around ANA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)
CBJ By 1 goal
12.1%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
ANA By 1 goal
19.7%
ANA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
3
COLUMBUS
Anaheim
4
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Anaheim
4
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ducks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ducks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ducks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Ducks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 20, 2025
CBJ @ ANA
3 - 4
Dec 16, 2025
ANA @ CBJ
3 - 4
Dec 14, 2024
ANA @ CBJ
4 - 3
Nov 10, 2024
CBJ @ ANA
2 - 4
Feb 21, 2024
CBJ @ ANA
7 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.2% more
Anaheim: 17.5
vs
Columbus: 15.0
Takeaways (L5)
+27.6% more
Columbus: 5.6
vs
Anaheim: 4.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+16.3%
Columbus: 56.1%
vs
Anaheim: 39.8%
Power Play % (L5)
+5.1%
Columbus: 14.7%
vs
Anaheim: 9.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
3.0
3
ANA Score
4.0
4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
CBJ
ANA
CBJ
ML
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
0%
0-3
0%
0-2