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VEGAS

GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK

16-6-10  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 10:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome
View Odds Details →

CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

14-17-4  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Rasmus Andersson
GOALTENDER

Rasmus Andersson

#4 | Defense
@
Devin Cooley
GOALTENDER

Devin Cooley

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Rasmus Andersson None-None -- -- --
Devin Cooley None-None 3.00 0.919 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 3.00
-- Save % 0.919
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
📊
FLAMES
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Calgary)
Golden KnightsVGK (-3.5) 0 FlamesCGY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Knights Cover

6.7%

Flames Cover

93.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

VGK By 1 goal

2.8%

VGK By 2-3 goals

1.2%

CGY By 1 goal

12.1%

CGY By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
2
VEGAS
5
CALGARY
Simulated Score
3
VEGAS
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Flames Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flames Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flames (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Flames (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 2, 2026 CGY @ VGK 3 - 6
Dec 20, 2025 VGK @ CGY 3 - 6
Oct 18, 2025 CGY @ VGK 1 - 6
Oct 14, 2025 VGK @ CGY 4 - 2
Apr 15, 2025 VGK @ CGY 4 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +20.0% more
Calgary: 36.6 vs Vegas: 30.5
Faceoff % (L5) +5.1%
Calgary: 51.8% vs Vegas: 46.7%
Blocked Shots (L5) +21.7% more
Vegas: 17.4 vs Calgary: 13.6
Power Play % (L5) +18.6%
Vegas: 29.2% vs Calgary: 10.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VGK Score 2.0 3
CGY Score 5.0 6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
82%MONEY18%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
VGK
CGY
VGK
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
TTL
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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