Home / NHL Projections NHL / Blues @ Panthers STL @ FLA

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

13-15-8  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 6:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

19-13-2  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Joel Hofer
GOALTENDER

Joel Hofer

#30 | Goaltender
@
Niko Mikkola
GOALTENDER

Niko Mikkola

#77 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Joel Hofer None-None 2.00 0.931 --
Niko Mikkola None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 GAA --
0.931 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
BLUES --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Florida)
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 PanthersFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

15.9%

Panthers Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

STL By 1 goal

6.6%

STL By 2-3 goals

3.7%

FLA By 1 goal

17.5%

FLA By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
ST. LOUIS
3
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
2
ST. LOUIS
4
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 29, 2026 FLA @ STL 4 - 5
Dec 20, 2025 STL @ FLA 6 - 2
Feb 6, 2025 FLA @ STL 3 - 2
Dec 20, 2024 STL @ FLA 1 - 2
Jan 9, 2024 FLA @ STL 5 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +45.8% more
Florida: 16.5 vs St. Louis: 11.3
Hits (L5) +33.2% more
Florida: 25.4 vs St. Louis: 19.1
Takeaways (L5) +16.7% more
Florida: 5.0 vs St. Louis: 4.3
Power Play % (L5) +11.7%
Florida: 20.4% vs St. Louis: 8.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 1.0 6
FLA Score 3.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
15%MONEY85%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
74%MONEY26%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
STL
FLA
STL
ML
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
67% 2-1
ATS
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-1
0% 0-4
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Barkov Eyes Late November Return; Marchand Could Be Back Soon fo…
wsvn 2 hours, 27 minutes ago
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
yardbarker 2 hours, 29 minutes ago
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
yardbarker 8 hours, 28 minutes ago
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
yardbarker 1 day, 8 hours ago
Brad Marchand Forced Off Ice with Apparent Leg Injury in Panther…
theathleticuk 1 day, 20 hours ago