Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bearcats @ Lakers BING @ MERC

BINGHAMTON

BEARCATSBING

3-9  |  Road

61
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 2:00 PM ET
Mercyhurst Athletic Center
View Odds Details →

MERCYHURST

LAKERSMERC

4-8  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
BEARCATS
0%
📊
LAKERS
100%
BEARCATS --
LAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
BINGHAMTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Binghamton)
BearcatsBING (-3.5) 0 LakersMERC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bearcats Cover

98.2%

Lakers Cover

1.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BING -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BING)

BING By 1-7 points

6.8%

BING By 8-14 points

16.9%

MERC By 1-7 points

1.4%

MERC By 8-14 points

0.2%

AI Model Projected Score
80
BINGHAMTON
59
MERCYHURST
Simulated Score
68
BINGHAMTON
72
MERCYHURST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bearcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lakers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bearcats (-8.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Lakers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o134.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 20, 2025 BING @ MERC 61 - 82
Dec 18, 2024 MERC @ BING 60 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +26.0% more
Binghamton: 15.7 vs Mercyhurst: 11.6
Free Throw % (L5) +22.9%
Binghamton: 75.7% vs Mercyhurst: 52.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.3%
Binghamton: 39.8% vs Mercyhurst: 31.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.7%
Binghamton: 44.3% vs Mercyhurst: 42.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BING Score 80.0 61
MERC Score 59.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.6 / 39.8 35.0 / 30.0
Assists 13.9 / 10.4 17.0 / 6.0
Blocks 4.5 / 2.8 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 42.6 / 44.3 50.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 52.7 / 75.7 83.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 29.3 / 28.4 34.0 / 29.0
Steals 8.3 / 6.3 13.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 15.7 7.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
36%MONEY64%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BING
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -1.7
MERC Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BING
14-13-0 (51.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -1.7
MERC Advantage
21-11-0 (65.6%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BING
15-12-0
O: 55.6% / U: 44.4% Total +/-: +5.2
MERC
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MERC
BING
MERC
BING
ML
59% 20-14
67% 20-10
79% 26-7
57% 17-13
ATS
62% 21-13
73% 22-8
79% 26-7
57% 17-13
TTL
53% 18-16
70% 21-9
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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