ORLANDO
MAGICORL
15-12 | Road
128
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
10-16 | Home
127
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
JAZZ
0%
MAGIC
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
236.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
ORL By 1-7 points
0.6%
ORL By 8-14 points
0.1%
UTAH By 1-7 points
4.0%
UTAH By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
106
ORLANDO
Utah
130
UTAH
Simulated Score
Orlando
108
ORLANDO
Utah
112
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jazz
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jazz
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jazz (+8)
Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim
Jazz (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u239.5
Loss
Proj Total: 236.0
D
Sim
u239.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
UTAH @ ORL
117 - 120
Dec 20, 2025
ORL @ UTAH
128 - 127
Feb 1, 2025
ORL @ UTAH
99 - 113
Jan 5, 2025
UTAH @ ORL
105 - 92
Feb 29, 2024
UTAH @ ORL
107 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+9.8% more
Utah: 30.7
vs
Orlando: 28.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.7%
Utah: 40.8%
vs
Orlando: 34.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Utah: 49.4%
vs
Orlando: 46.1%
Blocks (L5)
+47.2% more
Orlando: 4.9
vs
Utah: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
106.0
128
UTAH Score
130.0
127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.8 / 34.1
35.0 / 30.0
Assists
30.7 / 28.0
34.0 / 32.0
Blocks
2.6 / 4.9
2.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
49.4 / 46.1
42.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
73.9 / 72.9
80.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
43.7 / 44.3
52.0 / 52.0
Steals
6.1 / 8.2
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 12.5
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
ORL
UTAH
ORL
ML
60%
96-63
61%
65-42
48%
40-43
56%
51-40
ATS
68%
108-51
64%
68-38-1
48%
40-43
56%
51-40
TTL
75%
119-39-1
57%
61-46
100%
83-0
100%
91-0
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