ROBERT MORRIS
COLONIALSRMU
9-4 | Road
79
SAINT FRANCIS
RED FLASHSFPA
2-10 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
COLONIALS
0%
RED FLASH
100%
COLONIALS
--
RED FLASH
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
ROBERT MORRIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Robert Morris)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RMU -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RMU)
RMU By 1-7 points
15.3%
RMU By 8-14 points
25.3%
SFPA By 1-7 points
4.8%
SFPA By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Robert Morris
77
ROBERT MORRIS
Saint Francis
62
SAINT FRANCIS
Simulated Score
Robert Morris
67
ROBERT MORRIS
Saint Francis
74
SAINT FRANCIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Colonials
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Flash
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Colonials (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Red Flash (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 20, 2025
RMU @ SFPA
79 - 70
Dec 21, 2024
SFPA @ RMU
77 - 90
Dec 20, 2023
RMU @ SFPA
75 - 73
Dec 21, 2022
SFPA @ RMU
66 - 77
Dec 22, 2021
RMU @ SFPA
75 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+21.0% more
Robert Morris: 15.4
vs
Saint Francis: 12.1
Rebounding (L5)
+17.7% more
Robert Morris: 37.9
vs
Saint Francis: 31.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Robert Morris: 32.5%
vs
Saint Francis: 28.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Robert Morris: 44.2%
vs
Saint Francis: 41.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RMU Score
77.0
79
SFPA Score
62.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.5 / 32.5
42.0 / 55.0
Assists
12.1 / 15.4
15.0 / 20.0
Blocks
2.4 / 1.3
0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
41.3 / 44.2
44.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
67.6 / 70.3
50.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
31.2 / 37.9
28.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.9 / 5.9
8.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 10.0
7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RMU
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
SFPA
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RMU
Advantage
19-11-1
(63.3%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
SFPA
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.1
SFPA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +5.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SFPA
RMU
SFPA
RMU
ML
68%
21-10
36%
12-21
67%
20-10
56%
18-14
ATS
68%
21-10
55%
18-15
67%
20-10
56%
18-14
TTL
58%
18-13
55%
18-15
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
