AI Model Win Probability
LEOPARDS
100%
YELLOW JACKETS
0%
LEOPARDS
--
YELLOW JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
GEORGIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Georgia Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GT -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GT)
LAF By 1-7 points
0.1%
LAF By 8-14 points
0.0%
GT By 1-7 points
0.8%
GT By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Lafayette
52
LAFAYETTE
Georgia Tech
83
GEORGIA TECH
Simulated Score
Lafayette
60
LAFAYETTE
Georgia Tech
78
GEORGIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Yellow Jackets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Yellow Jackets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Yellow Jackets (-16.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim
Yellow Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 20, 2025
LAF @ GT
81 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+55.8% more
Georgia Tech: 5.4
vs
Lafayette: 3.5
Blocks (L5)
+36.9% more
Georgia Tech: 3.2
vs
Lafayette: 2.3
Assists (L5)
+36.0% more
Georgia Tech: 18.1
vs
Lafayette: 13.3
Rebounding (L5)
+15.7% more
Georgia Tech: 38.5
vs
Lafayette: 33.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAF Score
52.0
81
GT Score
83.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
46.0 / 40.9
56.0 / 32.0
Assists
18.1 / 13.3
21.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.2 / 2.3
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 43.1
50.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
70.4 / 70.2
87.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
38.5 / 33.3
39.0 / 28.0
Steals
5.4 / 3.5
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 11.6
9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAF
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
GT
Advantage
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAF
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
GT
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
GT
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GT
LAF
GT
LAF
ML
61%
19-12
53%
17-15
63%
19-11
59%
19-13
ATS
55%
17-14
56%
18-14
63%
19-11
59%
19-13
TTL
61%
19-12
50%
16-16
100%
30-0
100%
32-0