COASTAL CAROLINA
CHANTICLEERSCCU
6-6 | Road
76
OLD DOMINION
MONARCHSODU
4-8 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
CHANTICLEERS
100%
MONARCHS
0%
CHANTICLEERS
--
MONARCHS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
OLD DOMINION
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Old Dominion)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ODU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ODU)
CCU By 1-7 points
24.3%
CCU By 8-14 points
13.7%
ODU By 1-7 points
26.2%
ODU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Coastal Carolina
67
COASTAL CAROLINA
Old Dominion
68
OLD DOMINION
Simulated Score
Coastal Carolina
69
COASTAL CAROLINA
Old Dominion
73
OLD DOMINION
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Monarchs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Monarchs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Monarchs (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Monarchs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 8, 2026
ODU @ CCU
70 - 66
Dec 20, 2025
CCU @ ODU
76 - 74
Feb 28, 2025
ODU @ CCU
61 - 59
Jan 25, 2025
CCU @ ODU
52 - 74
Feb 24, 2024
CCU @ ODU
59 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+45.9% more
Old Dominion: 3.4
vs
Coastal Carolina: 2.3
Turnovers (L5)
+24.1% more
Old Dominion: 10.2
vs
Coastal Carolina: 8.2
Assists (L5)
+19.7% more
Old Dominion: 11.2
vs
Coastal Carolina: 9.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+18.9%
Old Dominion: 79.4%
vs
Coastal Carolina: 60.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CCU Score
67.0
76
ODU Score
68.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.3 / 29.5
44.0 / 18.0
Assists
11.2 / 9.3
8.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.3
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
41.2 / 36.3
46.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
79.4 / 60.6
79.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
34.3 / 37.6
37.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.3 / 5.5
2.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 8.2
13.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +0.4
ODU
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU
Advantage
18-12-1
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +0.4
ODU
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: -0.6
ODU
21-10-1
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3%
Total +/-: +3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ODU
CCU
ODU
CCU
ML
52%
17-16
41%
13-19
67%
22-11
55%
17-14
ATS
70%
23-10
38%
12-20
67%
22-11
55%
17-14
TTL
70%
23-10
75%
24-8
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
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