Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Flashes @ Minutemen KENT @ MASS

KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

9-2  |  Road

69
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 2:00 PM ET
Mullins Center
View Odds Details →

MASSACHUSETTS

MINUTEMENMASS

8-3  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN FLASHES
100%
📊
MINUTEMEN
0%
GOLDEN FLASHES --
MINUTEMEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
116.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
MASSACHUSETTS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Massachusetts)
Golden FlashesKENT (-3.5) 0 MinutemenMASS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Flashes Cover

0.0%

Minutemen Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MASS -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MASS)

KENT By 1-7 points

0.0%

KENT By 8-14 points

0.0%

MASS By 1-7 points

0.0%

MASS By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
33
KENT STATE
83
MASSACHUSETTS
Simulated Score
71
KENT STATE
75
MASSACHUSETTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Minutemen Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Minutemen Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Minutemen (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim Minutemen (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u163.5 Win
Proj Total: 116.0
D
Sim u163.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 20, 2025 KENT @ MASS 69 - 59
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.2%
Massachusetts: 42.0% vs Kent State: 37.8%
Blocks (L5) +28.2% more
Kent State: 4.2 vs Massachusetts: 3.0
Turnovers (L5) +20.5% more
Kent State: 17.4 vs Massachusetts: 13.9
Steals (L5) +13.8% more
Kent State: 8.6 vs Massachusetts: 7.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENT Score 33.0 69
MASS Score 83.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.0 / 37.8 33.0 / 29.0
Assists 19.0 / 19.2 16.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.0 / 4.2 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.7 / 51.9 33.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 65.5 / 76.2 71.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 38.2 / 41.7 36.0 / 40.0
Steals 7.5 / 8.6 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 17.4 14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
36%MONEY64%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
65%MONEY35%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
37%MONEY63%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENT Advantage
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
MASS
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENT
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
MASS
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
MASS
20-12-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5% Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MASS
KENT
MASS
KENT
ML
44% 14-18
53% 18-16
68% 21-10
65% 22-12
ATS
47% 15-17
65% 22-12
68% 21-10
65% 22-12
TTL
56% 18-14
44% 15-19
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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