ELON
PHOENIXELON
7-4 | Road
81
VIRGINIA TECH
HOKIESVT
10-2 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
0%
HOKIES
100%
PHOENIX
--
HOKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-55.0
ELON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +55.0 points (Elon)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ELON -55.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ELON)
ELON By 1-7 points
0.0%
ELON By 8-14 points
0.0%
VT By 1-7 points
0.0%
VT By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Elon
89
ELON
Virginia Tech
34
VIRGINIA TECH
Simulated Score
Elon
61
ELON
Virginia Tech
78
VIRGINIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Phoenix
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hokies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Phoenix (-13.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -55.0
D
Sim
Hokies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u158.5
Loss
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 20, 2025
ELON @ VT
81 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+16.1% more
Elon: 11.2
vs
Virginia Tech: 9.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.5%
Elon: 72.7%
vs
Virginia Tech: 69.2%
Blocks (L5)
+37.6% more
Virginia Tech: 3.8
vs
Elon: 2.8
Assists (L5)
+34.0% more
Virginia Tech: 18.1
vs
Elon: 13.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ELON Score
89.0
81
VT Score
34.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.0 / 33.6
29.0 / 33.0
Assists
18.1 / 13.5
13.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.8 / 2.8
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
50.0 / 47.9
48.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
69.2 / 72.7
69.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
32.8 / 34.6
36.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.2 / 7.6
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 11.2
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ELON
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
VT
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ELON
11-19-0
(36.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
VT
Advantage
17-14-1
(54.8%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ELON
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
VT
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VT
ELON
VT
ELON
ML
53%
17-15
61%
19-12
72%
23-9
71%
22-9
ATS
59%
19-13
55%
17-14
72%
23-9
71%
22-9
TTL
69%
22-10
52%
16-15
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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