CENTRAL MICHIGAN
CHIPPEWASCMU
4-7 | Road
73
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
HUSKIESNIU
4-7 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
CHIPPEWAS
100%
HUSKIES
0%
CHIPPEWAS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-53.0
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +53.0 points (Northern Illinois)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NIU -53.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NIU)
CMU By 1-7 points
0.0%
CMU By 8-14 points
0.0%
NIU By 1-7 points
0.0%
NIU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Michigan
33
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Northern Illinois
86
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
Central Michigan
70
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Northern Illinois
73
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Huskies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Huskies (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -53.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
NIU @ CMU
46 - 88
Dec 20, 2025
CMU @ NIU
73 - 74
Mar 7, 2025
NIU @ CMU
83 - 81
Jan 18, 2025
CMU @ NIU
71 - 66
Mar 5, 2024
CMU @ NIU
69 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+71.2% more
Northern Illinois: 47.7
vs
Central Michigan: 27.8
Steals (L5)
+37.2% more
Northern Illinois: 7.7
vs
Central Michigan: 5.6
Turnovers (L5)
+34.0% more
Northern Illinois: 15.4
vs
Central Michigan: 11.5
Assists (L5)
+8.6% more
Northern Illinois: 16.1
vs
Central Michigan: 14.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CMU Score
33.0
73
NIU Score
86.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.1 / 25.5
26.0 / 29.0
Assists
16.1 / 14.8
12.0 / 20.0
Blocks
1.9 / 3.9
0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
40.9 / 43.1
48.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
65.4 / 74.1
74.0 / 54.0
Rebounding
47.7 / 27.8
31.0 / 30.0
Steals
7.7 / 5.6
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 11.5
16.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CMU
Advantage
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
NIU
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -8.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CMU
Advantage
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
NIU
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -8.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2%
Total +/-: +0.4
NIU
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NIU
CMU
NIU
CMU
ML
67%
20-10
57%
17-13
66%
19-10
70%
21-9
ATS
63%
19-11
67%
20-10
66%
19-10
70%
21-9
TTL
67%
20-10
67%
20-10
100%
29-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
UConn Men's Basketball 2026-27 TV Schedule Revealed: Up to Seven…
Miami Hurricanes Hit Hard: Top Two Running Backs Out, Jordan Lyl…
Dan Hurley's UConn Overhaul: How 10 New Faces Fit National Title…
UConn Men's Basketball Faces Nation's Toughest Nonconference Sch…
UConn Adds Shaw with Deep Basketball Roots and Veteran Presence …