GRAND CANYON
LOPESGCU
6-4 | Road
82
WYOMING
COWBOYSWYO
9-2 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
LOPES
0%
COWBOYS
100%
LOPES
--
COWBOYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
GRAND CANYON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Grand Canyon)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GCU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GCU)
GCU By 1-7 points
6.8%
GCU By 8-14 points
16.9%
WYO By 1-7 points
1.4%
WYO By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Grand Canyon
80
GRAND CANYON
Wyoming
59
WYOMING
Simulated Score
Grand Canyon
78
GRAND CANYON
Wyoming
72
WYOMING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lopes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lopes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lopes (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Lopes (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
WYO @ GCU
70 - 65
Dec 20, 2025
GCU @ WYO
82 - 70
Dec 3, 2022
GCU @ WYO
66 - 58
Nov 22, 2021
WYO @ GCU
68 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+22.4% more
Grand Canyon: 2.2
vs
Wyoming: 1.7
Rebounding (L5)
+9.2% more
Grand Canyon: 41.1
vs
Wyoming: 37.4
Steals (L5)
+29.7% more
Wyoming: 7.5
vs
Grand Canyon: 5.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.8%
Wyoming: 39.3%
vs
Grand Canyon: 26.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GCU Score
80.0
82
WYO Score
59.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.3 / 26.6
12.0 / 39.0
Assists
14.7 / 15.5
11.0 / 8.0
Blocks
1.7 / 2.2
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
53.8 / 41.3
37.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
78.3 / 75.3
77.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
37.4 / 41.1
29.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.5 / 5.8
12.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 9.7
12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GCU
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.8
WYO
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GCU
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.8
WYO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
GCU
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -3.4
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WYO
GCU
WYO
GCU
ML
52%
17-16
66%
21-11
70%
23-10
68%
21-10
ATS
64%
21-12
72%
23-9
70%
23-10
68%
21-10
TTL
64%
21-12
44%
14-18
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
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