Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Skyhawks @ Golden Eagles UTM @ TNTC

UT MARTIN

SKYHAWKSUTM

8-4  |  Road

86
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 4:00 PM ET
Hooper Eblen Center
View Odds Details →

TENNESSEE TECH

GOLDEN EAGLESTNTC

6-6  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
SKYHAWKS
100%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
0%
SKYHAWKS --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
TENNESSEE TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (Tennessee Tech)
SkyhawksUTM (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesTNTC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Skyhawks Cover

0.0%

Golden Eagles Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TNTC -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TNTC)

UTM By 1-7 points

0.0%

UTM By 8-14 points

0.0%

TNTC By 1-7 points

0.2%

TNTC By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
58
UT MARTIN
94
TENNESSEE TECH
Simulated Score
72
UT MARTIN
75
TENNESSEE TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 TNTC @ UTM 49 - 64
Dec 20, 2025 UTM @ TNTC 86 - 62
Mar 5, 2025 UTM @ TNTC 70 - 67
Feb 20, 2025 UTM @ TNTC 66 - 71
Jan 25, 2025 TNTC @ UTM 89 - 85
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +12.9%
Tennessee Tech: 39.9% vs UT Martin: 27.0%
Free Throw % (L5) +9.8%
Tennessee Tech: 77.4% vs UT Martin: 67.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +7.1%
Tennessee Tech: 48.4% vs UT Martin: 41.3%
Rebounding (L5) +18.0% more
UT Martin: 45.1 vs Tennessee Tech: 37.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTM Score 58.0 86
TNTC Score 94.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.9 / 27.0 31.0 / 45.0
Assists 14.5 / 13.6 13.0 / 19.0
Blocks 4.2 / 4.2 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 48.4 / 41.3 42.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 77.4 / 67.6 75.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 37.0 / 45.1 29.0 / 32.0
Steals 8.9 / 9.3 5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 15.7 15.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
66%MONEY34%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTM Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +1.6
TNTC
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTM Advantage
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +1.6
TNTC
14-14-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTM
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -8.2
TNTC
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TNTC
UTM
TNTC
UTM
ML
50% 15-15
69% 22-10
65% 15-8
69% 20-9
ATS
50% 15-15
56% 18-14
65% 15-8
69% 20-9
TTL
57% 17-13
44% 14-18
100% 23-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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