AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
UTES
100%
EAGLES
--
UTES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Eastern Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around EWU -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EWU)
EWU By 1-7 points
0.5%
EWU By 8-14 points
2.7%
UTAH By 1-7 points
0.0%
UTAH By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Washington
83
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Utah
50
UTAH
Simulated Score
Eastern Washington
64
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Utah
82
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Utes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Eagles (-11.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Utes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u160.5
Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 20, 2025
EWU @ UTAH
77 - 101
Nov 30, 2024
EWU @ UTAH
80 - 88
Nov 6, 2023
EWU @ UTAH
66 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+24.8% more
Utah: 3.8
vs
Eastern Washington: 3.1
Assists (L5)
+15.0% more
Utah: 13.3
vs
Eastern Washington: 11.6
Rebounding (L5)
+8.8% more
Utah: 32.6
vs
Eastern Washington: 30.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.1%
Utah: 74.9%
vs
Eastern Washington: 69.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EWU Score
83.0
77
UTAH Score
50.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.7 / 34.5
52.0 / 31.0
Assists
13.3 / 11.6
23.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.8 / 3.1
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 45.0
68.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
74.9 / 69.9
71.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
32.6 / 30.0
31.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.5 / 7.0
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 12.8
10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EWU
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
UTAH
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EWU
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
UTAH
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.2
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
EWU
UTAH
EWU
ML
56%
18-14
64%
21-12
67%
20-10
69%
22-10
ATS
56%
18-14
64%
21-12
67%
20-10
69%
22-10
TTL
41%
13-19
48%
16-17
100%
30-0
100%
32-0