PORTLAND STATE
VIKINGSPRST
6-4 | Road
61
TULANE
GREEN WAVETULN
8-4 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
100%
GREEN WAVE
0%
VIKINGS
--
GREEN WAVE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TULANE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Tulane)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TULN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TULN)
PRST By 1-7 points
24.3%
PRST By 8-14 points
13.7%
TULN By 1-7 points
26.2%
TULN By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland State
67
PORTLAND STATE
Tulane
68
TULANE
Simulated Score
Portland State
68
PORTLAND STATE
Tulane
75
TULANE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Green Wave
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Green Wave
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Green Wave (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Green Wave (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 20, 2025
PRST @ TULN
61 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+16.7% more
Tulane: 5.5
vs
Portland State: 4.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.6%
Tulane: 73.7%
vs
Portland State: 65.1%
Assists (L5)
+15.7% more
Portland State: 15.8
vs
Tulane: 13.4
Rebounding (L5)
+9.8% more
Portland State: 36.5
vs
Tulane: 33.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRST Score
67.0
61
TULN Score
68.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
22.3 / 31.6
12.0 / 25.0
Assists
13.4 / 15.8
8.0 / 13.0
Blocks
5.5 / 4.7
1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
40.4 / 47.1
36.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
73.7 / 65.1
83.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 36.5
38.0 / 35.0
Steals
9.2 / 8.8
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 11.6
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRST
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
TULN
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRST
Advantage
18-9-1
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
TULN
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.9
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TULN
PRST
TULN
PRST
ML
70%
23-10
65%
20-11
47%
15-17
71%
22-9
ATS
62%
20-12-1
71%
22-9
47%
15-17
71%
22-9
TTL
55%
18-15
47%
14-16-1
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
