Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Eagles @ Bluejays MARQ @ CREI

MARQUETTE

GOLDEN EAGLESMARQ

5-7  |  Road

63
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 8:30 PM ET
CHI Health Center Omaha
View Odds Details →

CREIGHTON

BLUEJAYSCREI

6-5  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
📊
BLUEJAYS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
BLUEJAYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
105.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
CREIGHTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Creighton)
Golden EaglesMARQ (-3.5) 0 BluejaysCREI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

4.5%

Bluejays Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CREI -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CREI)

MARQ By 1-7 points

3.3%

MARQ By 8-14 points

0.6%

CREI By 1-7 points

12.2%

CREI By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
44
MARQUETTE
61
CREIGHTON
Simulated Score
75
MARQUETTE
78
CREIGHTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bluejays Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bluejays Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bluejays (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Bluejays (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 105.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 27, 2026 CREI @ MARQ 62 - 86
Dec 20, 2025 MARQ @ CREI 63 - 84
Feb 8, 2025 MARQ @ CREI 67 - 77
Jan 3, 2025 CREI @ MARQ 71 - 79
Mar 2, 2024 MARQ @ CREI 75 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +44.3% more
Creighton: 4.3 vs Marquette: 3.0
Assists (L5) +39.2% more
Creighton: 20.5 vs Marquette: 14.7
Rebounding (L5) +15.1% more
Creighton: 37.4 vs Marquette: 32.5
Turnovers (L5) +11.6% more
Creighton: 10.7 vs Marquette: 9.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MARQ Score 44.0 63
CREI Score 61.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.2 / 28.6 37.0 / 33.0
Assists 20.5 / 14.7 13.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.3 / 3.0 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 48.1 / 39.6 47.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 74.2 / 67.7 80.0 / 55.0
Rebounding 37.4 / 32.5 44.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.2 / 7.7 7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 9.5 12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MARQ
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
CREI Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MARQ Advantage
12-19-1 (38.7%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
CREI
11-22-1 (33.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MARQ
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -1.5
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CREI
MARQ
CREI
MARQ
ML
52% 17-16
59% 19-13
70% 21-9
62% 20-12
ATS
58% 19-14
53% 17-15
70% 21-9
62% 20-12
TTL
52% 17-16
50% 16-16
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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