CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
9-18 | Road
86
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
21-6 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
0%
PISTONS
100%
HORNETS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHA -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
CHA By 1-7 points
0.0%
CHA By 8-14 points
0.2%
DET By 1-7 points
0.0%
DET By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
131
CHARLOTTE
Detroit
88
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Charlotte
108
CHARLOTTE
Detroit
112
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hornets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hornets (-10.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u235.0
Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Sim
u235.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
DET @ CHA
118 - 100
Feb 9, 2026
DET @ CHA
110 - 104
Dec 20, 2025
CHA @ DET
86 - 112
Feb 9, 2025
CHA @ DET
102 - 112
Jan 3, 2025
CHA @ DET
94 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+15.0% more
Charlotte: 30.7
vs
Detroit: 26.1
Turnovers (L5)
+13.0% more
Charlotte: 15.5
vs
Detroit: 13.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.1%
Charlotte: 40.9%
vs
Detroit: 30.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Charlotte: 49.0%
vs
Detroit: 45.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
131.0
86
DET Score
88.0
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.9 / 40.9
21.0 / 32.0
Assists
26.1 / 30.7
23.0 / 21.0
Blocks
4.5 / 4.5
10.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 49.0
44.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
73.1 / 74.1
75.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
49.3 / 42.2
61.0 / 43.0
Steals
10.3 / 8.8
16.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 15.5
20.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
DET
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CHA
DET
CHA
ML
55%
64-53
61%
60-39
49%
47-49
48%
40-44
ATS
53%
60-54-3
60%
59-40
49%
47-49
48%
40-44
TTL
60%
70-46-1
58%
57-42
100%
96-0
100%
84-0
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