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EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

17-12-6  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 3:00 PM ET
Grand Casino Arena
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

21-9-5  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Ty Emberson
GOALTENDER

Ty Emberson

#49 | Defense
@
Filip Gustavsson
GOALTENDER

Filip Gustavsson

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ty Emberson None-None -- -- --
Filip Gustavsson None-None 2.00 0.933 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 2.00
-- Save % 0.933
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
📊
WILD
100%
OILERS --
WILD --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 WildMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

30.9%

Wild Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MIN +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

EDM By 1 goal

19.7%

EDM By 2-3 goals

29.6%

MIN By 1 goal

12.1%

MIN By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
EDMONTON
2
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
2
EDMONTON
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Oilers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wild Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wild (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Wild (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 31, 2026 MIN @ EDM 7 - 3
Dec 20, 2025 EDM @ MIN 2 - 5
Dec 2, 2025 MIN @ EDM 1 - 0
Jan 15, 2025 EDM @ MIN 5 - 3
Dec 12, 2024 EDM @ MIN 7 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5) +8.8%
Edmonton: 52.8% vs Minnesota: 44.0%
Takeaways (L5) +38.7% more
Minnesota: 5.0 vs Edmonton: 3.6
Power Play % (L5) +18.1%
Minnesota: 53.2% vs Edmonton: 35.1%
Hits (L5) +12.0% more
Minnesota: 18.8 vs Edmonton: 16.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 3.0 2
MIN Score 2.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
44%MONEY56%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
90%MONEY10%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
EDM
MIN
EDM
ML
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
100% 3-0
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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