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PITTSBURGH

PENGUINSPIT

14-10-9  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 7:00 PM ET
Bell Centre
View Odds Details →

MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

18-12-4  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Kris Letang
GOALTENDER

Kris Letang

#58 | Defense
@
Jacob Fowler
GOALTENDER

Jacob Fowler

#32 | G
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Kris Letang None-None -- -- --
Jacob Fowler None-None 0.00 1.000 1
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 0.00
-- Save % 1.000
-- SO 1
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
0%
📊
CANADIENS
100%
PENGUINS --
CANADIENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Pittsburgh)
PenguinsPIT (-3.5) 0 CanadiensMTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Penguins Cover

69.1%

Canadiens Cover

30.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PIT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)

PIT By 1 goal

19.7%

PIT By 2-3 goals

29.6%

MTL By 1 goal

12.1%

MTL By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
PITTSBURGH
2
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
2
PITTSBURGH
3
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Penguins Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Canadiens Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Penguins (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Canadiens (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 MTL @ PIT 5 - 6
Dec 21, 2025 MTL @ PIT 3 - 4
Dec 20, 2025 PIT @ MTL 0 - 4
Dec 11, 2025 MTL @ PIT 4 - 2
Dec 12, 2024 PIT @ MTL 9 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +29.7% more
Pittsburgh: 4.6 vs Montreal: 3.2
Faceoff % (L5) +4.7%
Montreal: 51.0% vs Pittsburgh: 46.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PIT Score 3.0 0
MTL Score 2.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
55%MONEY45%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
89%MONEY11%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
PIT
MTL
PIT
ML
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
ATS
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
100% 3-0
75% 3-1
TTL
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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