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JAMES MADISON

DUKESJMU

7-5  |  Road

92
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 5:00 PM ET
Jack and Ruth Ann Hill Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA SOUTHERN

EAGLESGASO

9-5  |  Home

96
AI Model Win Probability
DUKES
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
DUKES --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Georgia Southern)
DukesJMU (-3.5) 0 EaglesGASO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dukes Cover

46.0%

Eagles Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GASO -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GASO)

JMU By 1-7 points

24.3%

JMU By 8-14 points

13.7%

GASO By 1-7 points

26.2%

GASO By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
67
JAMES MADISON
68
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
68
JAMES MADISON
75
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u155.5 Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 25, 2026 GASO @ JMU 66 - 82
Dec 20, 2025 JMU @ GASO 92 - 96
Feb 22, 2025 GASO @ JMU 73 - 78
Feb 13, 2025 JMU @ GASO 77 - 72
Feb 24, 2024 JMU @ GASO 80 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +19.3% more
Georgia Southern: 8.8 vs James Madison: 7.4
Rebounding (L5) +13.1% more
Georgia Southern: 38.6 vs James Madison: 34.1
Free Throw % (L5) +9.6%
Georgia Southern: 79.1% vs James Madison: 69.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.4%
Georgia Southern: 36.1% vs James Madison: 30.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JMU Score 67.0 92
GASO Score 68.0 96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.1 / 30.7 23.0 / 25.0
Assists 13.4 / 13.9 9.0 / 5.0
Blocks 2.9 / 3.5 3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 44.0 / 43.4 44.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 79.1 / 69.5 77.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 38.6 / 34.1 33.0 / 49.0
Steals 8.8 / 7.4 6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 8.6 / 9.8 6.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
37%MONEY63%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
13%MONEY87%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JMU
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
GASO Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JMU
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
GASO Advantage
17-18-0 (48.6%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
JMU
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: +3.4
GASO
18-17-0
O: 51.4% / U: 48.6% Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GASO
JMU
GASO
JMU
ML
56% 20-16
64% 21-12
58% 19-14
66% 21-11
ATS
64% 23-13
67% 22-11
58% 19-14
66% 21-11
TTL
61% 22-14
67% 22-11
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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