Home / NHL Projections NHL / Stars @ Ducks DAL @ ANA

DALLAS

STARSDAL

23-7-5  |  Road

8
FINAL
Fri, Dec 19 • 10:00 PM ET
Honda Center
View Odds Details →

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

20-12-2  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Casey DeSmith
GOALTENDER

Casey DeSmith

#1 | Goaltender
@
Petr Mrazek
GOALTENDER

Petr Mrazek

#34 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Casey DeSmith None-None 3.00 0.880 --
Petr Mrazek None-None 5.25 0.778 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.00 Ldr GAA 5.25
0.880 Ldr Save % 0.778
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
📊
DUCKS
0%
STARS --
DUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Anaheim)
StarsDAL (-3.5) 0 DucksANA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stars Cover

30.9%

Ducks Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around ANA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)

DAL By 1 goal

12.1%

DAL By 2-3 goals

9.3%

ANA By 1 goal

19.7%

ANA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
DALLAS
4
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
2
DALLAS
4
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Ducks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ducks Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ducks (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Ducks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 13, 2026 DAL @ ANA 1 - 3
Dec 19, 2025 DAL @ ANA 8 - 3
Nov 6, 2025 ANA @ DAL 7 - 5
Mar 18, 2025 ANA @ DAL 3 - 4
Feb 4, 2025 DAL @ ANA 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +30.9% more
Anaheim: 20.2 vs Dallas: 15.4
Shots on Goal (L5) +21.6% more
Anaheim: 29.6 vs Dallas: 24.3
Power Play % (L5) +39.3%
Dallas: 48.9% vs Anaheim: 9.6%
Takeaways (L5) +25.5% more
Dallas: 5.5 vs Anaheim: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 3.0 8
ANA Score 4.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
38%MONEY62%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
DAL
ANA
DAL
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
ATS
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
100% 3-0
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
yardbarker 6 hours, 57 minutes ago
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
yardbarker 7 hours, 9 minutes ago
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
si 1 day ago
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
yardbarker 1 day, 1 hour ago
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List
si 1 day, 12 hours ago