DARTMOUTH
BIG GREENDART
5-5 | Road
63
SACRED HEART
PIONEERSSHU
4-7 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
BIG GREEN
0%
PIONEERS
100%
BIG GREEN
--
PIONEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
192.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
DARTMOUTH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Dartmouth)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DART -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DART)
DART By 1-7 points
10.7%
DART By 8-14 points
21.6%
SHU By 1-7 points
2.7%
SHU By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Dartmouth
105
DARTMOUTH
Sacred Heart
87
SACRED HEART
Simulated Score
Dartmouth
70
DARTMOUTH
Sacred Heart
75
SACRED HEART
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Big Green
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pioneers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Big Green (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Pioneers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Win
Proj Total: 192.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 19, 2025
DART @ SHU
63 - 85
Nov 9, 2024
SHU @ DART
76 - 81
Dec 21, 2023
DART @ SHU
57 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+37.7% more
Dartmouth: 3.6
vs
Sacred Heart: 2.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.4%
Dartmouth: 44.4%
vs
Sacred Heart: 38.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Dartmouth: 47.6%
vs
Sacred Heart: 44.6%
Steals (L5)
+53.9% more
Sacred Heart: 6.3
vs
Dartmouth: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DART Score
105.0
63
SHU Score
87.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.0 / 44.4
25.0 / 30.0
Assists
15.6 / 14.9
15.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.2 / 3.6
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 47.6
42.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
77.4 / 68.8
71.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 36.7
48.0 / 45.0
Steals
6.3 / 4.1
12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 13.5
9.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DART
11-16-0
(40.7%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
SHU
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DART
11-14-0
(44.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
SHU
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
SHU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SHU
DART
SHU
DART
ML
61%
20-13
62%
16-10
73%
24-9
50%
13-13
ATS
76%
25-8
65%
17-9
73%
24-9
50%
13-13
TTL
58%
19-14
88%
23-3
100%
33-0
100%
26-0
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