Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Midshipmen COPP @ NAVY

COPPIN STATE

EAGLESCOPP

2-12  |  Road

55
FINAL
Fri, Dec 19 • 5:00 PM ET
Alumni Hall (Navy)
View Odds Details →

NAVY

MIDSHIPMENNAVY

6-5  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
MIDSHIPMEN
0%
EAGLES --
MIDSHIPMEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
92.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
NAVY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Navy)
EaglesCOPP (-3.5) 0 MidshipmenNAVY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

11.5%

Midshipmen Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NAVY -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NAVY)

COPP By 1-7 points

8.0%

COPP By 8-14 points

2.2%

NAVY By 1-7 points

20.1%

NAVY By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
40
COPPIN STATE
52
NAVY
Simulated Score
55
COPPIN STATE
68
NAVY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Midshipmen Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Midshipmen Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Midshipmen (+20.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Midshipmen (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 92.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 19, 2025 COPP @ NAVY 55 - 88
Dec 21, 2024 NAVY @ COPP 60 - 68
Dec 3, 2023 COPP @ NAVY 52 - 75
Nov 14, 2022 NAVY @ COPP 68 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +34.8% more
Navy: 2.4 vs Coppin State: 1.8
Rebounding (L5) +21.3% more
Navy: 35.8 vs Coppin State: 29.5
Free Throw % (L5) +5.7%
Navy: 81.1% vs Coppin State: 75.3%
Turnovers (L5) +29.8% more
Coppin State: 16.7 vs Navy: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COPP Score 40.0 55
NAVY Score 52.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.8 / 33.4 36.0 / 20.0
Assists 12.6 / 13.0 19.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.4 / 1.8 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.9 / 41.1 51.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 81.1 / 75.3 83.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 35.8 / 29.5 42.0 / 26.0
Steals 6.2 / 7.4 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 16.7 12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COPP
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
NAVY Advantage
26-8-0 (76.5%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COPP
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
NAVY Advantage
20-11-1 (64.5%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +2.1
NAVY
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NAVY
COPP
NAVY
COPP
ML
79% 26-7
65% 20-11
55% 18-15
79% 19-5
ATS
73% 24-9
68% 21-10
55% 18-15
79% 19-5
TTL
73% 24-9
52% 16-15
100% 33-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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