SETON HALL
PIRATESHALL
10-1 | Road
72
PROVIDENCE
FRIARSPROV
7-5 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
100%
FRIARS
0%
PIRATES
--
FRIARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
PROVIDENCE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Providence)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PROV -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PROV)
HALL By 1-7 points
1.1%
HALL By 8-14 points
0.1%
PROV By 1-7 points
5.8%
PROV By 8-14 points
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Seton Hall
70
SETON HALL
Providence
92
PROVIDENCE
Simulated Score
Seton Hall
68
SETON HALL
Providence
72
PROVIDENCE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Friars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Friars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Friars (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Friars (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
PROV @ HALL
80 - 87
Dec 19, 2025
HALL @ PROV
72 - 67
Jan 28, 2025
PROV @ HALL
69 - 67
Jan 11, 2025
HALL @ PROV
85 - 91
Jan 24, 2024
PROV @ HALL
67 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+13.3% more
Providence: 40.5
vs
Seton Hall: 35.8
Assists (L5)
+9.1% more
Providence: 18.9
vs
Seton Hall: 17.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.5%
Providence: 38.9%
vs
Seton Hall: 33.5%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.5%
Providence: 79.4%
vs
Seton Hall: 76.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HALL Score
70.0
72
PROV Score
92.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.9 / 33.5
22.0 / 33.0
Assists
18.9 / 17.3
11.0 / 13.0
Blocks
5.4 / 5.4
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
49.3 / 49.1
40.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
79.4 / 76.9
80.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
40.5 / 35.8
29.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.0 / 11.5
5.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 12.3
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HALL
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
PROV
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HALL
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
PROV
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
HALL
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.3
PROV
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +8.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PROV
HALL
PROV
HALL
ML
59%
19-13
41%
13-19
67%
20-10
60%
18-12
ATS
50%
16-16
50%
16-16
67%
20-10
60%
18-12
TTL
44%
14-18
53%
17-15
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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