EASTERN MICHIGAN
EAGLESEMU
6-5 | Road
72
AKRON
ZIPSAKR
8-3 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
ZIPS
0%
EAGLES
--
ZIPS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
88.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
AKRON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Akron)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AKR -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AKR)
EMU By 1-7 points
4.0%
EMU By 8-14 points
0.8%
AKR By 1-7 points
13.7%
AKR By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Michigan
36
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Akron
52
AKRON
Simulated Score
Eastern Michigan
72
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Akron
68
AKRON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Zips
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Zips (-15.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Eagles (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Loss
Proj Total: 88.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 3, 2026
AKR @ EMU
66 - 64
Dec 19, 2025
EMU @ AKR
72 - 93
Jan 11, 2025
AKR @ EMU
105 - 81
Mar 5, 2024
EMU @ AKR
61 - 60
Jan 30, 2024
AKR @ EMU
77 - 46
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+29.3% more
Akron: 19.9
vs
Eastern Michigan: 15.4
Rebounding (L5)
+9.3% more
Akron: 37.0
vs
Eastern Michigan: 33.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.2%
Akron: 73.8%
vs
Eastern Michigan: 65.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.1%
Akron: 42.2%
vs
Eastern Michigan: 36.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EMU Score
36.0
72
AKR Score
52.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.2 / 36.1
17.0 / 26.0
Assists
19.9 / 15.4
22.0 / 7.0
Blocks
3.2 / 4.4
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
52.9 / 47.0
55.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
73.8 / 65.6
86.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
37.0 / 33.8
44.0 / 36.0
Steals
5.9 / 6.0
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 11.8
8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
AKR
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EMU
Advantage
20-10-0
(66.7%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
AKR
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0%
Total +/-: -3.6
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AKR
EMU
AKR
EMU
ML
71%
24-10
65%
20-11
65%
22-12
70%
21-9
ATS
76%
26-8
65%
20-11
65%
22-12
70%
21-9
TTL
59%
20-14
71%
22-9
100%
34-0
100%
30-0
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