ABILENE CHRISTIAN
WILDCATSACU
7-4 | Road
67
BYU
COUGARSBYU
10-1 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
COUGARS
0%
WILDCATS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
180.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-42.0
BYU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +42.0 points (BYU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BYU -42.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BYU)
ACU By 1-7 points
0.0%
ACU By 8-14 points
0.0%
BYU By 1-7 points
0.0%
BYU By 8-14 points
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Abilene Christian
69
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
BYU
111
BYU
Simulated Score
Abilene Christian
65
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
BYU
78
BYU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (-33.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -42.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Win
Proj Total: 180.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 19, 2025
ACU @ BYU
67 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+93.5% more
BYU: 5.1
vs
Abilene Christian: 2.6
Rebounding (L5)
+37.1% more
BYU: 41.3
vs
Abilene Christian: 30.1
Assists (L5)
+32.0% more
BYU: 16.8
vs
Abilene Christian: 12.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.4%
BYU: 76.6%
vs
Abilene Christian: 69.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ACU Score
69.0
67
BYU Score
111.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.3 / 37.3
38.0 / 31.0
Assists
16.8 / 12.7
15.0 / 14.0
Blocks
5.1 / 2.6
9.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
49.8 / 42.4
60.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
76.6 / 69.2
73.0 / 93.0
Rebounding
41.3 / 30.1
30.0 / 26.0
Steals
10.8 / 11.1
12.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 14.3
18.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ACU
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -2.1
ATS +/-: -2.6
BYU
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ACU
13-16-1
(44.8%)
Margin: -2.1
ATS +/-: -2.6
BYU
Advantage
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
ACU
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +1.4
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BYU
ACU
BYU
ACU
ML
60%
21-14
67%
22-11
72%
23-9
70%
23-10
ATS
54%
19-16
55%
18-15
72%
23-9
70%
23-10
TTL
69%
24-11
58%
19-14
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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