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VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

13-17-3  |  Road

4
FINAL
Fri, Dec 19 • 7:00 PM ET
UBS Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

19-12-3  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Thatcher Demko
GOALTENDER

Thatcher Demko

#35 | Goaltender
@
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Thatcher Demko None-None 1.00 0.958 --
Ilya Sorokin None-None 3.19 0.900 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 3.19
0.958 Ldr Save % 0.900
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
0%
📊
ISLANDERS
100%
CANUCKS --
ISLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Vancouver)
CanucksVAN (-3.5) 0 IslandersNYI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canucks Cover

93.3%

Islanders Cover

6.7%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VAN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)

VAN By 1 goal

12.1%

VAN By 2-3 goals

37.2%

NYI By 1 goal

2.8%

NYI By 2-3 goals

1.2%

AI Model Projected Score
4
VANCOUVER
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
2
VANCOUVER
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Canucks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Canucks (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Islanders (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 19, 2026 NYI @ VAN 4 - 3
Dec 19, 2025 VAN @ NYI 4 - 1
Mar 26, 2025 VAN @ NYI 5 - 2
Nov 14, 2024 NYI @ VAN 5 - 2
Jan 9, 2024 VAN @ NYI 5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +12.3% more
Vancouver: 21.7 vs New York: 19.0
Blocked Shots (L5) +57.6% more
New York: 18.6 vs Vancouver: 11.8
Takeaways (L5) +9.2% more
New York: 4.4 vs Vancouver: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VAN Score 4.0 4
NYI Score 1.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
23%MONEY77%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
37%MONEY63%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
VAN
NYI
VAN
ML
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
ATS
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
TTL
100% 2-0-1
50% 2-2
100% 2-0-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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