Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Ospreys @ Buccaneers UNF @ CHSO

NORTH FLORIDA

OSPREYSUNF

2-8  |  Road

90
FINAL
Thu, Dec 18 • 11:00 AM ET
Buccaneer Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

CHARLESTON SOUTHERN

BUCCANEERSCHSO

7-5  |  Home

113
AI Model Win Probability
OSPREYS
0%
📊
BUCCANEERS
100%
OSPREYS --
BUCCANEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
111.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
NORTH FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (North Florida)
OspreysUNF (-3.5) 0 BuccaneersCHSO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ospreys Cover

99.8%

Buccaneers Cover

0.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNF -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNF)

UNF By 1-7 points

1.4%

UNF By 8-14 points

5.8%

CHSO By 1-7 points

0.1%

CHSO By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
70
NORTH FLORIDA
41
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
68
NORTH FLORIDA
72
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Ospreys Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Buccaneers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Ospreys (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Buccaneers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 111.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 18, 2025 UNF @ CHSO 90 - 113
Nov 7, 2024 CHSO @ UNF 66 - 90
Nov 9, 2023 UNF @ CHSO 81 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +27.2% more
North Florida: 5.9 vs Charleston Southern: 4.3
Turnovers (L5) +12.3% more
North Florida: 14.8 vs Charleston Southern: 12.9
Free Throw % (L5) +2.8%
North Florida: 73.7% vs Charleston Southern: 70.9%
Blocks (L5) +122.2% more
Charleston Southern: 3.6 vs North Florida: 1.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNF Score 70.0 90
CHSO Score 41.0 113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.8 / 32.1 51.0 / 34.0
Assists 18.2 / 12.9 24.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.6 / 1.6 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.3 / 39.8 57.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 70.9 / 73.7 85.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 50.0 / 32.5 38.0 / 30.0
Steals 4.3 / 5.9 5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 14.8 12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
36%MONEY64%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNF
7-25-0 (21.9%)
Margin: -8.6 ATS +/-: +1.1
CHSO Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNF Advantage
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: -8.6 ATS +/-: +1.1
CHSO
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UNF
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +3.5
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5% Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHSO
UNF
CHSO
UNF
ML
43% 13-17
69% 22-10
67% 20-10
66% 21-11
ATS
50% 15-15
69% 22-10
68% 21-10
66% 21-11
TTL
50% 15-15
66% 21-11
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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