Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Paladins @ Jaspers FUR @ MAN

FURMAN

PALADINSFUR

7-4  |  Road

75
FINAL
Thu, Dec 18 • 7:00 PM ET
Draddy Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

MANHATTAN

JASPERSMAN

4-7  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
PALADINS
0%
📊
JASPERS
100%
PALADINS --
JASPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
115.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
FURMAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Furman)
PaladinsFUR (-3.5) 0 JaspersMAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Paladins Cover

99.4%

Jaspers Cover

0.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FUR -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FUR)

FUR By 1-7 points

3.3%

FUR By 8-14 points

10.7%

MAN By 1-7 points

0.5%

MAN By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
70
FURMAN
45
MANHATTAN
Simulated Score
78
FURMAN
65
MANHATTAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Paladins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Paladins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Paladins (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim Paladins (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 115.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 18, 2025 FUR @ MAN 75 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +43.2% more
Furman: 19.4 vs Manhattan: 11.0
Rebounding (L5) +23.9% more
Furman: 39.3 vs Manhattan: 29.9
Blocks (L5) +19.3% more
Furman: 3.8 vs Manhattan: 3.1
Field Goal % (L5) +15.0%
Furman: 54.1% vs Manhattan: 39.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FUR Score 70.0 75
MAN Score 45.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.2 / 31.8 27.0 / 36.0
Assists 11.0 / 19.4 14.0 / 20.0
Blocks 3.1 / 3.8 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 39.1 / 54.1 39.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 84.8 / 68.0 69.0 / 36.0
Rebounding 29.9 / 39.3 36.0 / 42.0
Steals 7.9 / 6.5 14.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 12.1 12.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
95%TICKETS5%
86%MONEY14%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FUR Advantage
22-13-0 (62.9%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
MAN
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FUR Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
MAN
11-19-1 (36.7%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
FUR
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.9
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MAN
FUR
MAN
FUR
ML
52% 16-15
71% 25-10
68% 21-10
62% 21-13
ATS
52% 16-15
63% 22-13
69% 22-10
62% 21-13
TTL
77% 24-7
57% 20-15
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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