Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Owls @ Wildcats TEM @ DAV

TEMPLE

OWLSTEM

6-5  |  Road

68
FINAL
Thu, Dec 18 • 7:00 PM ET
John M. Belk Arena
View Odds Details →

DAVIDSON

WILDCATSDAV

8-2  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
OWLS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
89.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
DAVIDSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Davidson)
OwlsTEM (-3.5) 0 WildcatsDAV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Owls Cover

18.4%

Wildcats Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DAV -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAV)

TEM By 1-7 points

12.2%

TEM By 8-14 points

4.0%

DAV By 1-7 points

24.3%

DAV By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
40
TEMPLE
49
DAVIDSON
Simulated Score
68
TEMPLE
72
DAVIDSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 89.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 18, 2025 TEM @ DAV 68 - 63
Dec 18, 2024 DAV @ TEM 61 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +35.5% more
Davidson: 7.1 vs Temple: 5.3
Blocks (L5) +59.2% more
Temple: 4.9 vs Davidson: 2.0
Assists (L5) +23.0% more
Temple: 18.1 vs Davidson: 14.0
Free Throw % (L5) +15.6%
Temple: 77.9% vs Davidson: 62.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEM Score 40.0 68
DAV Score 49.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.7 / 43.2 23.0 / 32.0
Assists 14.0 / 18.1 13.0 / 5.0
Blocks 2.0 / 4.9 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 50.4 / 52.2 39.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 62.3 / 77.9 67.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 34.1 / 33.9 44.0 / 30.0
Steals 7.1 / 5.3 2.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 9.2 / 9.5 8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEM
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: +0.1
DAV Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.1 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEM Advantage
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: +0.1
DAV
13-17-2 (43.3%)
Margin: 4.1 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TEM
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: -1.1
DAV
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAV
TEM
DAV
TEM
ML
64% 21-12
62% 20-12
58% 19-14
67% 20-10
ATS
48% 16-17
56% 18-14
58% 19-14
67% 20-10
TTL
52% 17-16
69% 22-10
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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