DELAWARE STATE
HORNETSDSU
4-8 | Road
51
SAINT JOSEPH'S
HAWKSJOES
6-4 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
HAWKS
0%
HORNETS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Saint Joseph's)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around JOES -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JOES)
DSU By 1-7 points
5.8%
DSU By 8-14 points
1.4%
JOES By 1-7 points
16.9%
JOES By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Delaware State
72
DELAWARE STATE
Saint Joseph's
86
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Simulated Score
Delaware State
65
DELAWARE STATE
Saint Joseph's
82
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawks (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 18, 2025
DSU @ JOES
51 - 67
Dec 28, 2024
DSU @ JOES
58 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+121.1% more
Saint Joseph's: 4.8
vs
Delaware State: 2.2
Rebounding (L5)
+36.5% more
Saint Joseph's: 40.4
vs
Delaware State: 29.6
Assists (L5)
+16.7% more
Saint Joseph's: 15.3
vs
Delaware State: 13.1
Turnovers (L5)
+13.0% more
Saint Joseph's: 12.8
vs
Delaware State: 11.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DSU Score
72.0
51
JOES Score
86.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.8 / 41.7
30.0 / 24.0
Assists
15.3 / 13.1
13.0 / 8.0
Blocks
4.8 / 2.2
9.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
41.8 / 45.0
39.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
77.8 / 67.0
61.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
40.4 / 29.6
47.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.0 / 10.8
8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 11.3
14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DSU
8-23-0
(25.8%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
JOES
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DSU
9-17-0
(34.6%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
JOES
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1%
Total +/-: -5.3
JOES
11-23-0
O: 32.4% / U: 67.7%
Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JOES
DSU
JOES
DSU
ML
51%
18-17
60%
18-12
61%
20-13
75%
18-6
ATS
60%
21-14
60%
18-12
61%
20-13
72%
18-7
TTL
54%
19-16
57%
17-13
100%
33-0
100%
25-0
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