Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Rams AMER @ VCU

AMERICAN UNIVERSITY

EAGLESAMER

7-4  |  Road

83
FINAL
Thu, Dec 18 • 7:00 PM ET
Siegel Center
View Odds Details →

VCU

RAMSVCU

7-4  |  Home

105
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
RAMS
0%
EAGLES --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
VCU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (VCU)
EaglesAMER (-3.5) 0 RamsVCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

1.8%

Rams Cover

98.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VCU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VCU)

AMER By 1-7 points

1.4%

AMER By 8-14 points

0.2%

VCU By 1-7 points

6.8%

VCU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
64
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
85
VCU
Simulated Score
61
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
78
VCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rams (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 18, 2025 AMER @ VCU 83 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +372.3% more
VCU: 5.3 vs American University: 1.1
Rebounding (L5) +20.8% more
VCU: 39.0 vs American University: 32.3
Turnovers (L5) +15.1% more
VCU: 11.5 vs American University: 10.0
Steals (L5) +29.9% more
American University: 10.1 vs VCU: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AMER Score 64.0 83
VCU Score 85.0 105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.4 / 38.8 44.0 / 45.0
Assists 14.4 / 13.9 21.0 / 13.0
Blocks 5.3 / 1.1 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.5 / 45.3 57.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 70.5 / 74.3 94.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 39.0 / 32.3 43.0 / 26.0
Steals 7.1 / 10.1 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 10.0 10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AMER
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
VCU Advantage
28-8-0 (77.8%)
Margin: 9.1 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AMER Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
VCU
18-18-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 9.1 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
AMER
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VCU
AMER
VCU
AMER
ML
72% 26-10
62% 20-12
67% 22-11
62% 20-12
ATS
81% 29-7
59% 19-13
67% 22-11
62% 20-12
TTL
58% 21-15
59% 19-13
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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