Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Eagles @ Horned Frogs ORU @ TCU

ORAL ROBERTS

GOLDEN EAGLESORU

5-8  |  Road

53
FINAL
Thu, Dec 18 • 8:00 PM ET
Schollmaier Arena
View Odds Details →

TCU

HORNED FROGSTCU

7-3  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
📊
HORNED FROGS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
HORNED FROGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
87.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
TCU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (TCU)
Golden EaglesORU (-3.5) 0 Horned FrogsTCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

13.6%

Horned Frogs Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TCU -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TCU)

ORU By 1-7 points

9.3%

ORU By 8-14 points

2.7%

TCU By 1-7 points

21.6%

TCU By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
38
ORAL ROBERTS
49
TCU
Simulated Score
65
ORAL ROBERTS
78
TCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Horned Frogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Horned Frogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Horned Frogs (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Horned Frogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 87.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 18, 2025 ORU @ TCU 53 - 72
Dec 2, 2021 ORU @ TCU 63 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +281.3% more
TCU: 5.7 vs Oral Roberts: 1.5
Assists (L5) +26.9% more
TCU: 13.0 vs Oral Roberts: 10.3
Steals (L5) +11.4% more
TCU: 6.8 vs Oral Roberts: 6.1
Field Goal % (L5) +2.7%
TCU: 45.8% vs Oral Roberts: 43.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORU Score 38.0 53
TCU Score 49.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.3 / 36.4 25.0 / 38.0
Assists 13.0 / 10.3 12.0 / 13.0
Blocks 5.7 / 1.5 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.8 / 43.1 48.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 68.8 / 80.0 67.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 34.2 / 33.4 38.0 / 26.0
Steals 6.8 / 6.1 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 14.2 8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORU
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
TCU Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORU
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
TCU Advantage
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.7
TCU
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TCU
ORU
TCU
ORU
ML
74% 26-9
85% 28-5
63% 19-11
73% 24-9
ATS
74% 26-9
82% 27-6
63% 19-11
73% 24-9
TTL
66% 23-12
61% 20-13
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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