Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Roos @ Cowboys KC @ OKST

KANSAS CITY

ROOSKC

2-10  |  Road

79
FINAL
Thu, Dec 18 • 8:00 PM ET
Gallagher-Iba Arena
View Odds Details →

OKLAHOMA STATE

COWBOYSOKST

9-1  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
ROOS
100%
📊
COWBOYS
0%
ROOS --
COWBOYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
OKLAHOMA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Oklahoma State)
RoosKC (-3.5) 0 CowboysOKST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Roos Cover

0.2%

Cowboys Cover

99.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OKST -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKST)

KC By 1-7 points

0.1%

KC By 8-14 points

0.0%

OKST By 1-7 points

1.4%

OKST By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
61
KANSAS CITY
90
OKLAHOMA STATE
Simulated Score
65
KANSAS CITY
78
OKLAHOMA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cowboys Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cowboys (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Cowboys (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 18, 2025 KC @ OKST 79 - 91
Nov 9, 2019 KC @ OKST 51 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +6.0%
Oklahoma State: 76.0% vs Kansas City: 70.0%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.0%
Oklahoma State: 47.7% vs Kansas City: 43.7%
Turnovers (L5) +37.4% more
Kansas City: 17.0 vs Oklahoma State: 10.7
Blocks (L5) +9.2% more
Kansas City: 3.6 vs Oklahoma State: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KC Score 61.0 79
OKST Score 90.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.2 / 37.2 36.0 / 37.0
Assists 14.7 / 13.8 18.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.3 / 3.6 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 47.7 / 43.7 58.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 76.0 / 70.0 74.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 37.2 / 37.6 41.0 / 29.0
Steals 5.1 / 5.3 8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 17.0 16.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
4-27-0 (12.9%)
Margin: -14.5 ATS +/-: -6.4
OKST Advantage
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
5-23-0 (17.9%)
Margin: -14.5 ATS +/-: -6.4
OKST Advantage
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +0.1
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKST
KC
OKST
KC
ML
60% 21-14
63% 19-11
66% 21-11
67% 20-10
ATS
57% 20-15
67% 20-10
66% 21-11
67% 20-10
TTL
57% 20-15
70% 21-9
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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