Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Pacers NY @ IND

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

18-7  |  Road

114
FINAL
Thu, Dec 18 • 7:00 PM ET
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

INDIANA

PACERSIND

6-20  |  Home

113
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
📊
PACERS
0%
KNICKS --
PACERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
247.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Indiana)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 PacersIND (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

0.6%

Pacers Cover

99.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IND -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)

NY By 1-7 points

0.5%

NY By 8-14 points

0.1%

IND By 1-7 points

3.3%

IND By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
111
NEW YORK
136
INDIANA
Simulated Score
108
NEW YORK
115
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pacers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pacers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pacers (+4) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim Pacers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o226.0 Win
Proj Total: 247.0
D
Sim u226.0 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 17, 2026 IND @ NY 110 - 136
Mar 13, 2026 NY @ IND 101 - 92
Feb 10, 2026 IND @ NY 137 - 134
Dec 18, 2025 NY @ IND 114 - 113
May 31, 2025 NY @ IND 108 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +7.3%
Indiana: 81.8% vs New York: 74.5%
Steals (L5) +17.6% more
New York: 8.1 vs Indiana: 6.7
Rebounding (L5) +17.0% more
New York: 49.8 vs Indiana: 41.3
Turnovers (L5) +13.1% more
New York: 12.0 vs Indiana: 10.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 111.0 114
IND Score 136.0 113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.2 / 38.5 32.0 / 40.0
Assists 23.0 / 26.0 22.0 / 31.0
Blocks 6.3 / 6.0 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 42.7 / 51.4 46.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 81.8 / 74.5 89.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 41.3 / 49.8 52.0 / 46.0
Steals 6.7 / 8.1 8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 12.0 14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
IND
19-63-0 (23.2%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
IND
40-42-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
NY
IND
NY
ML
48% 47-50
61% 114-72
54% 45-38
56% 57-45
ATS
59% 57-40
67% 124-62
54% 45-38
56% 57-45
TTL
54% 52-45
72% 133-53
100% 83-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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