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LA

CLIPPERSLAC

6-20  |  Road

101
FINAL
Thu, Dec 18 • 8:00 PM ET
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OKLAHOMA CITY

THUNDEROKC

24-2  |  Home

122
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
📊
THUNDER
0%
CLIPPERS --
THUNDER --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
245.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
OKLAHOMA CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Oklahoma City)
ClippersLAC (-3.5) 0 ThunderOKC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Clippers Cover

46.0%

Thunder Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OKC -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKC)

LAC By 1-7 points

24.3%

LAC By 8-14 points

13.7%

OKC By 1-7 points

26.2%

OKC By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
122
LA
123
OKLAHOMA CITY
Simulated Score
113
LA
118
OKLAHOMA CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Thunder Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Thunder Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Thunder (+17) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Thunder (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o221.5 Win
Proj Total: 245.0
D
Sim u221.5 Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 8, 2026 OKC @ LAC 128 - 110
Dec 18, 2025 LAC @ OKC 101 - 122
Nov 4, 2025 OKC @ LAC 126 - 107
Mar 23, 2025 OKC @ LAC 103 - 101
Jan 2, 2025 LAC @ OKC 98 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +58.1% more
Oklahoma City: 4.8 vs LA: 3.0
Steals (L5) +25.1% more
Oklahoma City: 11.0 vs LA: 8.8
Rebounding (L5) +22.7% more
Oklahoma City: 45.6 vs LA: 37.2
Assists (L5) +12.1% more
Oklahoma City: 26.6 vs LA: 23.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAC Score 122.0 101
OKC Score 123.0 122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.8 / 34.2 36.0 / 31.0
Assists 26.6 / 23.7 28.0 / 25.0
Blocks 4.8 / 3.0 4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 51.3 / 47.0 48.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 81.3 / 77.5 81.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 45.6 / 37.2 38.0 / 49.0
Steals 11.0 / 8.8 18.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 15.7 9.0 / 29.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
26%MONEY74%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
OKC Advantage
75-22-0 (77.3%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
OKC
47-50-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
OKC
54-43-0
O: 55.7% / U: 44.3% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKC
LAC
OKC
LAC
ML
70% 80-34
60% 59-40
48% 46-49
55% 45-37
ATS
73% 83-30-1
66% 65-33-1
48% 46-49
55% 45-37
TTL
67% 76-38
59% 58-40-1
100% 95-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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