ORLANDO
MAGICORL
15-11 | Road
115
DENVER
NUGGETSDEN
19-6 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
NUGGETS
100%
MAGIC
--
NUGGETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
200.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
ORL By 1-7 points
5.8%
ORL By 8-14 points
15.3%
DEN By 1-7 points
1.1%
DEN By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
111
ORLANDO
Denver
89
DENVER
Simulated Score
Orlando
107
ORLANDO
Denver
118
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nuggets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (-6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Nuggets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u235.5
Loss
Proj Total: 200.0
D
Sim
u235.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 27, 2025
DEN @ ORL
126 - 127
Dec 18, 2025
ORL @ DEN
115 - 126
Feb 6, 2025
ORL @ DEN
90 - 112
Jan 19, 2025
DEN @ ORL
113 - 100
Jan 5, 2024
ORL @ DEN
122 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+27.2% more
Orlando: 4.3
vs
Denver: 3.2
Turnovers (L5)
+16.7% more
Orlando: 13.8
vs
Denver: 11.5
Rebounding (L5)
+8.9% more
Orlando: 44.4
vs
Denver: 40.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.4%
Denver: 43.1%
vs
Orlando: 34.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
111.0
115
DEN Score
89.0
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.1 / 34.7
44.0 / 33.0
Assists
28.7 / 26.9
31.0 / 30.0
Blocks
3.2 / 4.3
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
53.7 / 45.7
56.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
77.6 / 74.8
80.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
40.5 / 44.4
40.0 / 44.0
Steals
8.4 / 7.8
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 13.8
15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
DEN
Advantage
56-32-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
DEN
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8%
Total +/-: +3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
ORL
DEN
ORL
ML
54%
57-48
61%
65-42
55%
47-39
56%
51-40
ATS
63%
65-38-2
64%
68-38-1
55%
47-39
56%
51-40
TTL
54%
56-48-1
57%
61-46
100%
86-0
100%
91-0
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