Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Chanticleers @ Mountaineers CCU @ APP

COASTAL CAROLINA

CHANTICLEERSCCU

6-5  |  Road

49
FINAL
Thu, Dec 18 • 6:30 PM ET
Holmes Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

APP STATE

MOUNTAINEERSAPP

7-5  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
CHANTICLEERS
0%
📊
MOUNTAINEERS
100%
CHANTICLEERS --
MOUNTAINEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
APP STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
ChanticleersCCU (-3.5) 0 MountaineersAPP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chanticleers Cover

46.0%

Mountaineers Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around APP +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (APP)

CCU By 1-7 points

26.2%

CCU By 8-14 points

16.9%

APP By 1-7 points

24.3%

APP By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
64
COASTAL CAROLINA
63
APP STATE
Simulated Score
72
COASTAL CAROLINA
78
APP STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Chanticleers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountaineers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Mountaineers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 10, 2026 APP @ CCU 62 - 67
Dec 18, 2025 CCU @ APP 49 - 67
Feb 13, 2025 APP @ CCU 64 - 46
Jan 8, 2025 CCU @ APP 51 - 74
Jan 20, 2024 CCU @ APP 59 - 88
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.0%
Coastal Carolina: 35.8% vs App State: 33.8%
Free Throw % (L5) +1.9%
Coastal Carolina: 65.8% vs App State: 63.9%
Blocks (L5) +89.1% more
App State: 4.7 vs Coastal Carolina: 2.5
Turnovers (L5) +52.9% more
App State: 12.0 vs Coastal Carolina: 7.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CCU Score 64.0 49
APP Score 63.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.8 / 35.8 41.0 / 17.0
Assists 16.3 / 11.0 8.0 / 6.0
Blocks 4.7 / 2.5 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.2 / 39.4 46.0 / 30.0
Free Throw % 63.9 / 65.8 64.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 45.1 / 37.5 43.0 / 38.0
Steals 4.8 / 3.8 3.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 7.8 12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
33%MONEY67%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
APP
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU Advantage
18-12-1 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
APP
16-13-1 (55.2%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.6
APP
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
APP
CCU
APP
CCU
ML
62% 20-12
41% 13-19
59% 19-13
55% 17-14
ATS
59% 19-13
38% 12-20
59% 19-13
55% 17-14
TTL
69% 22-10
75% 24-8
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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