AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
DEVILS
0%
RANGERS
--
DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (New Jersey)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NJ -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)
NYR By 1 goal
11.6%
NYR By 2-3 goals
8.7%
NJ By 1 goal
19.7%
NJ By 2-3 goals
30.5%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2.32
NEW YORK
New Jersey
3.41
NEW JERSEY
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
New Jersey
4
NEW JERSEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Devils
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Devils
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Devils (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim
Devils (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 31, 2026
NJ @ NYR
1 - 4
Mar 18, 2026
NJ @ NYR
6 - 3
Mar 7, 2026
NYR @ NJ
3 - 6
Oct 2, 2025
NJ @ NYR
3 - 1
Sep 21, 2025
NYR @ NJ
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+150.9% more
New Jersey: 37.3
vs
New York: 14.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+54.8% more
New Jersey: 20.9
vs
New York: 13.5
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.7% more
New Jersey: 29.7
vs
New York: 26.8
Takeaways (L5)
+45.8% more
New York: 7.0
vs
New Jersey: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
2.3
5
NJ Score
3.4
3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
NYR
NJ
NYR
ML
33%
1-2
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
40%
2-3
ATS
0%
0-3
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
TTL
0%
0-2-1
60%
3-2
50%
1-1-1
60%
3-2