NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
0-0-0 | Road
2
NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
0-0-0 | Home
6
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
DEVILS
100%
ISLANDERS
--
DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYI -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
NYI By 1 goal
19.6%
NYI By 2-3 goals
26.8%
NJ By 1 goal
13.6%
NJ By 2-3 goals
11.4%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2.6
NEW YORK
New Jersey
1.86
NEW JERSEY
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
New Jersey
4
NEW JERSEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Devils
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Islanders (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Devils (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
NJ @ NYI
0 - 6
Feb 5, 2026
NYI @ NJ
3 - 1
Jan 6, 2026
NJ @ NYI
0 - 9
Dec 23, 2025
NJ @ NYI
1 - 2
Nov 10, 2025
NYI @ NJ
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+41.6% more
New York: 4.9
vs
New Jersey: 2.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+11.0% more
New York: 33.4
vs
New Jersey: 29.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.3%
New York: 55.4%
vs
New Jersey: 49.1%
Hits (L5)
+126.0% more
New Jersey: 39.9
vs
New York: 17.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
2.6
2
NJ Score
1.9
6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
NYI
NJ
NYI
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
0%
0-2-1
67%
2-1-1
50%
1-1-1
100%
3-0-1
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