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NEW JERSEY

DEVILSNJ

0-0-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Fri, Sep 26 • 7:00 PM ET
UBS Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

0-0-0  |  Home

2
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
100%
📊
ISLANDERS
0%
DEVILS --
ISLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (New York)
DevilsNJ (-3.5) 0 IslandersNYI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Devils Cover

38.0%

Islanders Cover

62.0%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)

NJ By 1 goal

14.4%

NJ By 2-3 goals

12.6%

NYI By 1 goal

19.4%

NYI By 2-3 goals

25.4%

AI Model Projected Score
1.97
NEW JERSEY
2.58
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
3
NEW JERSEY
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Islanders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Islanders (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim Islanders (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 4.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 NJ @ NYI 0 - 6
Feb 5, 2026 NYI @ NJ 3 - 1
Jan 6, 2026 NJ @ NYI 0 - 9
Dec 23, 2025 NJ @ NYI 1 - 2
Nov 10, 2025 NYI @ NJ 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +48.7% more
New York: 2.8 vs New Jersey: 1.9
Shots on Goal (L5) +12.4% more
New York: 33.4 vs New Jersey: 29.7
Faceoff % (L5) +6.3%
New York: 55.4% vs New Jersey: 49.1%
Hits (L5) +28.9% more
New Jersey: 32.9 vs New York: 23.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NJ Score 2.0 4
NYI Score 2.6 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
NJ
NYI
NJ
ML
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
100% 2-0-1
0% 0-2-1
100% 2-0-1
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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